On Wednesday, March 11, 2026, the Iranian military command issued a stark warning to the United States and global markets, declaring that efforts to artificially lower energy prices will fail and that the world must "prepare for $200 per barrel" oil.
The ultimatum was delivered by Ebrahim Zolfaqari, spokesperson for the Khatam al-Anbiya military command, who stated that regional security has been permanently destabilized by the 12-day bombing campaign led by the U.S. and Israel.
The "$200 Oil" Warning
Tehran’s messaging on Wednesday focused on the inextricable link between military conflict and global energy costs:
Destabilization Argument: Zolfaqari addressed Washington directly, stating: "Get ready for oil to be $200 a barrel, because the oil price depends on regional security, which you have destabilized".
Hormuz Blockade: Iran reiterated that it will not permit "a single liter of oil" to pass through the Strait of Hormuz for the benefit of the U.S. or its allies until all attacks cease.
Retaliation against Banks: In a significant escalation of rhetoric, Zolfaqari also warned that Iran would target banks and financial institutions linked to the U.S. or Israel, advising civilians to stay at least 1,000 meters away from such buildings.
U.S. Response: "The Largest Oil Release in History"
The Iranian warning follows a major move by the International Energy Agency (IEA) and the Trump administration to suppress the price shock:
400 Million Barrel Release: On Wednesday morning, 32 IEA member nations unanimously agreed to release 400 million barrels of emergency crude reserves—the largest coordinated release in the agency's 50-year history.
Trump’s Reassurance: President Trump has dismissed the price spike as "short-term," claiming that oil prices will "drop rapidly" once the Iranian threat is neutralized. He warned that any attempt by Iran to permanently block the Strait would be met with a strike "20 times stronger" than current operations.
Market Whiplash: While oil prices surged to nearly $120 earlier this week, they settled back to approximately $90 on Wednesday as traders weighed the massive reserve release against the threat of a prolonged blockade.
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